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Thursday, August 23, 2007
-4:51 AM
Leaders
The Riddle of Iran
There are many things in the world that are a bad idea to build. A nuclear weapon is a good example.
Iran's nuclear ambitions have grown from preposterously propagandistic speeches into a worrying reality. While most of the world's attention has been drawn to the raging battle in Afghanistan, Israel and its neighbours, Iran is well into developing nuclear fuel for its first bomb. Such is the situation that experts say Iran could have 'The Bomb' (as it is known) by 2015 (Others say that the project could be in its final stages of completion within a mere 2 years).
Doomsday criers hold your end-of-the-world repertoire, however, for nuclear Armageddon might not be the end of the world. MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) psychology aside, Iran's tough exterior might be merely that. Its president, who has infamously threatened to 'bury the West', has given many fiery speeches but has failed to back them up with any real action. And despite what Israel claims about Iran being 'basically a messianic apocalyptic cult', Iran's leaders are far from suicidal. They know about Israel's and the United States' formidable nuclear arsenal, and since its situation is far removed from that of North Korea (crumbling regime with nothing to lose), there are signs that Iran may not be so trigger-happy.
More like than not, its nuclear ambitions are fueled by the need for a bargaining chip, to drive larger countries to the diplomatic table. 'The Bomb' has a way of making normally big players sit up and pay attention, for rather obvious reasons. Yet this is a dangerous game Iran is playing. Faced with such a dire, sudden nuclear player on the block (and perhaps fueled by a desire to appear aggressive in the run for presidency). To quote Senator John McCain, "although attacking Iran would be bad, an Iran with nuclear weapons would be worse."
Iran must play its cards right. To misquote a tired cliche, with the Great Bomb comes great responsibility.
